The race to qualify for the Champions League is well and truly on. 

Clubs are desperate to play in Europe's elite competition every season and that means finishing as high as possible in the table. 

In the big leagues, it's usually the top three or four teams that make it - depending on each associations coefficient - so predicting Champions League qualification is always very tough.

But this season its especially interesting in terms of the Premier League thanks to Manchester City. 

As it stands, Pep Guardiola's side are banned from the competition for two years after breaching Financial Fair Play rules.

So, who will take their place? Well, the website FiveThirtyEight have been crunching the numbers and worked out each team's current probability of Champions League qualification. 

Let's start with the Premier League, before taking a look at teams from Europe's other top five leagues:

Liverpool | 100% chance (already qualified) 

Manchester City | 0% chance (currently banned)

Leicester City | 98% chance

Chelsea | 81% chance 

Tottenham | 42% chance

Manchester United | 23% chance 

Wolves | 22% chance

Sheffield United | 17% chance  

Everton | 11% chance 

Arsenal | 2% chance

Burnley | 1% chance

Every other Premier League team has less than 1% chance of qualification. 

La Liga teams: 

Real Madrid | More than 99% chance 

Barcelona | More than 99% chance

Getafe | 58% chance

Atletico Madrid | 54% chance

Sevilla | 44% chance 

Real Sociedad | 20% chance

Villarreal | 13% chance

Valencia | 8% chance 

Athletic Bilbao | 1% chance

Every other La Liga team has less than 1% chance of qualification.

Serie A teams:

Juventus | More than 99% chance

Inter Milan | 98% chance 

Lazio | 97% chance

Atalanta | 85% chance

Roma | 15% chance

Napoli | 2% chance

AC Milan | 2% chance 

Every other Serie A team has less than 1% chance of qualification. 

Bundesliga teams:

Bayern Munich | More than 99% chance

RB Leipzig | 96% chance

Borussia Dortmund | 86% chance 

Borussia Monchengladbach | 67% chance

Bayer Leverkusen | 44% chance

Schalke 04 | 5% chance

Every other Bundesliga team has less than 1% chance of qualification. 

Ligue 1 teams: 

Paris Saint-Germain | More than 99% chance 

Marseille | 86% chance

Lille | 41% chance 

Rennes | 26% chance

Monaco | 17% chance

Lyon | 14% chance 

Strasbourg | 6% chance

Montpellier | 5% chance

Bordeaux | 2% chance

Nice | 1% chance

Nantes | 1% chance 

Every other Ligue 1 team has less than 1% chance of qualification. 

As you can see, the race to reach the Champions League really is hotting up in all of Europe's top five leagues. 

We have to give a special mention to Sheffield United.

The newly-promoted Premier League side statistically have a better chance of making the competition than the likes of Napoli, Roma and Valencia.  

What a job Chris Wilder is doing - but he'll have Man City's ban to thank as well if the Blades really do the unimaginable.