How good NFL's Super Bowl XLVIII turns out to be will depend upon the weather in New York a week on Sunday, and how well Seattle Seahawks and Denver Broncos adapt to any crazy happenings.
It's not just the players who will have to worry about the weather though, with fans expected to have to brave cold conditions throughout the game.
According to stats compiled ESPN, there is a 21% chance that fans will freeze at the Super Bowl under conditions of 25 degrees or less.
This includes a 21% chance of precipitation during the game, meaning fans will have to wrap up warm and take waterproof clothing.
Nate Silver explains in the video above, "cold weather is just part of a triple-threat of what the winter poses in New York," he said.
"There is a 21% chance of rain, snow or any kind of combination also. If I were a betting man though, I might put some money on the wind.
"There is a 31% chance of winds of more than 15mph during the game. That would significantly affect not just place kickers, but also the passing game."
There is definitely a 100% chance that Silver did not enjoy making the video above.