Felix Magath had his first game in charge for Fulham on Saturday, which ended in a 1-1 draw with West Brom.
Magath is Fulham’s third manager this season as the London club try desperately to avoid relegation.
Changing management is hardly uncommon when clubs, such as Fulham, are faced with the threat of dropping to the Championship.
Four other clubs in the Premier League have already changed their manager this season. But a third manager in four months shows signs of panic from the London club. An according to one writer this tactic is doomed to fail.
Writing for The Guardian, James Riach argues that statistically, changes in management rarely have the desired effect.
According to Riach, clubs opting for a change in management end up relegated despite their efforts. So, with eleven fixtures left to play, Magath might have, arguably, been set up to fail at Fulham.
Riach claims that when a managerial change occurs the club claims an average of 2.5 points in their following fixture.
For any club in a relegation battle the prospect of three points is incredibly mouth watering. Clubs at the bottom of the table are generally starved for points. So the prospect of an extra three points are incredibly crucial. Sadly Magath couldn't quite do that.
In this regard Fulham is no different. In their last seven outings Fulham have only been able to take five points. Luckily for them competition isn’t too far behind.
Five points separated the bottom six clubs before today's fixtures. Three points would have narrowed that gap even more and bring Fulham to the cusp of survival. And with 10 games remaining in the season Magath has time to change Fulham’s season around.
According to Riach a new manager has a 12 match ‘honeymoon’ period before their club returns to their previous form or worse. So if that is to be believed its incredibly plausible that Fulham, with those 10 remaining fixtures, and their new manager may survive the drop.
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