Stats show NBA playoff winners must lose more than you think

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The NBA playoffs reward winners whilst losers fall by the wayside, that we cannot dispute.

Having said that though, recent history suggests that to become NBA champions you have to lose more games than you would expect.

The Miami Heat have made light work of their two postseason series to date, sitting on a 7-1 record in the 2014 NBA playoffs at present.

But their current win rate puts them in a fairly unique position when compared to those who have triumphed in the past 10 years.

Since the NBA revamped the playoff system to make all rounds a best-of-seven contest, teams who have gone on to win in the Finals have lost on average 7 games on route to the claiming the Larry O'Brien Championship trophy.

6.9 to be exact when the math has been done.

Since 2003 when the rule change came into force, and the San Antonio Spurs won with a record of 16-8, seven of the 11 winners finished with a 16-7 record. 

The Miami Heat's three titles to date all follow the theory, and four of the past five playoffs have, you guessed it, seen the 16-7 record come into play.

The Dallas Mavericks (2011, 16-5), Boston Celtics (2008, 16-10), and the Spurs (16-4) in 2007 are the only teams to defy the theory.

We doubt Eric Spoelstra will be telling LeBron, Wade and co to ensure they aim for Game Seven in the coming weeks, but at present the San Antonio Spurs seem to have timed their form perfectly.

Sitting on a 8-4 record they are just three defeats away from becoming NBA Champions - now there is a sentence I didn't think I'd ever be writing.

NBA Playoffs
San Antonio Spurs
Miami Heat

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