LeBron James, Cavaliers picked to be NBA's top regular-season team

Published Add your comment

The defending champion San Antonio Spurs might be projected as the NBA champs by a lot of people, but the Vegas money is on the Cleveland Cavaliers as the favorites to win the most regular-season games.

In odds posted by the Las Vegas Sun, the Cavaliers have an over/under of 58.5 wins at the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook.

The next best teams?

The Oklahoma City Thunder (57.5), Spurs (56.5), Chicago Bulls (55.5) and Los Angeles Clippers (55.5).

The projected worst teams?

Not surprisingly, it's the Philadelphia 76ers (15.5) and Milwaukee Bucks (24.5).

Related Articles

Antoine Walker no longer embarrassed by blowing $110M
LeBron insists it's Kyrie Irving's show
One Heat player happy that LeBron left

What does it mean?

Well, you can start with the concept, regular-season wins. In many cases, the team with the most regular-season wins isn't the team that will ultimately win the NBA title.

Playoff series are, obviously, a different animal than flying into a town for one night and then leaving the next to head elsewhere.

There is scouting and plays designed to beat an opponent, but it doesn't come anywhere near the back-and-forth strategizing that goes on during a playoff series, especially given the rise in the use of advanced stats metrics throughout the league on anything from lineup combinations to spots on the court to shoot from against specific opponents.

Why are the Cavs so high?

Honestly, a big reason is the hype. The key for a Las Vegas book is to have as close to equal betting on each side as possible.

So, the wins over/under is more of a gauge of what the sports book believes that the general betting public believes than the number of games the book thinks the team will win.

Simple enough concept, right?

All of that is because, when you bet on any team to win, you're usually betting on a +105 or +110. That means you need to bet $105 or $110 to win $100.

So, with equal betting on each side, the house always wins too with the vig, or their cut or commission.

All of the LeBron James and Cavs hype means people are willing to believe the team will win probably more games than they actually win. And, if betting is heavy on either side now that the numbers are open, the book will move those odds accordingly.

"The Cavs' number was made with their new team in relation to the East and past years' numbers that we used for the Heat," said Jeff Sherman, head NBA oddsmaker for the SuperBook, to "Their number is slightly lower than Heat's in the LeBron years, with this being the Cavs' new players first year together."

Why so low with the 76ers?

It starts, again, with the public having no faith that the 76ers are any good. They aren't, and they are probably worse than last season.

That's why the book is OK with posting odds that that entice bets at 15.5. All of the starting odds numbers have a .5 in them so that there will be no “push” and there will be winners and losers on both bets.

The Las Vegas Sun said that the book posted the 76ers' odds at 16.5 wins before last season, which caused a stir, but ultimately the team won 19 even after its 26-game late season losing streak.

Here are the rest of the odds, according to the paper:

Cavaliers — 58.5

Thunder — 57.5

Spurs — 56.5

Bulls — 55.5

Clippers — 55.5

Warriors — 50.5

Rockets — 49.5

Mavericks — 49.5

Raptors — 49.5

Wizards — 49.5

Trailblazers — 48.5

Grizzlies — 48.5

Hornets — 45.5

Heat — 43.5

Suns — 42.5

Nets — 41.5

Pelicans — 41.5

Nuggets — 40.5

Hawks — 40.5

Knicks — 40.5

Pistons — 36.5

Pacers — 32.5

Lakers — 31.5

Kings — 30.5

Magic — 28.5

Celtics — 26.5

Timberwolves — 25.5

Jazz — 25.5

Bucks — 24.5

76ers — 15.5

Philadelphia Sixers
LeBron James
San Antonio Spurs
Cleveland Cavaliers

Article Comments

Report author of article

Please let us know if you believe this article is in violation of our editorial policy, please only report articles for one of the following reasons.

Report author


This article has been written by a member of the GiveMeSport Writing Academy and does not represent the views of or SportsNewMedia. The views and opinions expressed are solely that of the author credited at the top of this article. and SportsNewMedia do not take any responsibility for the content of its contributors.

Want more content like this?

Like our GiveMeSport Facebook Page and you will get this directly to you.

Already Subscribed to Facebook, don't ask me again

Follow GiveMeSport on Twitter and you will get this directly to you.

Already Following, don't ask me again

Like our GiveMeSport - NBA Page and you will get this directly to you.

Already Subscribed to G+, don't ask me again