Predicting your own team to win the Super Bowl is dangerous business. It really just depends how confident you are, because you will either be a genius or an idiot depending on the final result come February.
Some bold predictors don't even get that far and that's why Denver Broncos fans will want to wince when they read that one of their star players made a bonehead guarantee that his Broncos will win the Super Bowl in two months time.
That man was defensive tackle Terrance Knighton, a player who has been really impressive in Denver's stout run defense, but now he's more worried about creating overzealous headlines that could come back to bite him in the backside.
"It doesn't matter what happens. At the end of the year, we're hoisting that trophy," Knighton explained, NFL.com reported. "I don't care if New England doesn't lose again. I don't care where we have to play. I don't care who our opponent is. We're not going to be satisfied until we hoist that trophy."
As Super Bowl winning predictions go, that's pretty out there. At least when Joe Namath did his famous Jets' Super Bowl win prediction he was actually going to play in the game in a few days time.
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Knighton's insane prediction is more like the two times Rex Ryan predicted the New York Jets to win the Super Bowl before the season had even begun.
And much like Ryan back then when the Jets were good, Knighton is so confident about the Broncos' chances that he feels his side can travel anywhere and beat anybody.
"So if we've got to go to New England (in the playoffs) and win somewhere we're not used to winning, we're going to make it happen," added the defensive tackle. "Write that. And put a big period after that one."
The problem with these comments is that they're unnecessary. You don't want to inspire your future opposition anymore than they already are, and now New England players have a nice piece of locker room material to inspire them come playoff time.
There is confidence and then there is too much confidence. We love comments like this because they create debate, but I'm sure Broncos' head coach John Fox would have liked his star defensive tackle to have kept his predictions in house rather than creating undue pressure for Denver.
We will see whether Knighton turns out to be an idiot or a genius in February.