We're nearing the end of a Premier League campaign for the history books and, luckily for you, GiveMeSport is on hand to help navigate you through one of the most unpredictable seasons on record.
Here, we've pitted two sets of top choices for this weekend against one another, crunched the numbers, and come up with who you should be putting in your DraftKing's line-up.
Not sure whether to splash the cash on that big-name striker, or save your pennies and hope an obscure pick goes off? Read on, my friends, and we'll steer you in the right direction.
Troy Deeney ($5,600) Stoke @ WATFORD v Mirko Arnautovic ($5,400) STOKE @ Watford
Watford’s prolific pairing of Odion Ighalo and Troy Deeney have been misfiring of late. Where once they could be relied upon to deliver solid points each week, now they’re much more hit and miss.
It’s no surprise that Deeney’s fortunes are tied to Ighalo either. The English striker puts the bullets in the chamber and Ighalo pulls the trigger, but now the Nigerian is struggling in front of goal and has managed just one goal in his last 10 league games, Deeney’s points have fallen off the chart.
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He maintains a healthy average of 9.3 FFPG points a game, but he’s registered below six points in five of his last six outings. In his last three games, his combined total is just 10 points. That’s a real red flag.
Arnautovic can be similarly inconsistent but he appears to be trending in the right direction along with Stoke, who have lost just one of their last five league outings.
He’s topped 15 DraftKings points in two of his last four outings and managed three goals in that time frame. His average for the season is up over 10 FPPG. Watford are in a real slump in general having won just two of their last 10 Premier League outings, and Arnautovic, at a decent price and slightly cheaper than Deeney, is the man for the job this week.
One slight area of concern with Arnautovic is that, although Watford’s recent form has been woeful and they’re sliding down the table, they don’t tend to ship too many goals. Their last three games, which have been two defeats and a draw, have seen them concede just twice. Indeed, in their last eight games they’ve conceded just six times. That’s enough to downgrade expectations on Arnautovic, who has 10 goals this term, and put him in a utility spot.
Yohan Cabaye ($6,500) Leicester @ CRYSTAL PALACE v Enner Valencia ($5,500) WEST HAM @ Chelsea
Dimitri Payet is the man getting all the attention right now and rightly so; the Frenchman has been a joy to watch this season.
But West Ham are on the verge of breaking into the top four in the Premier League and that can’t be down to one man; so are any of his supporting cast worth having in your line-up? Valencia is an option as a flyer, but there’s no way you can pick him with utter confidence.
The striker has struggled with injuries this term and managed just 13 Premier League appearances. He made his return from the bench against Manchester United in the FA Cup at the weekend and played eight minutes with no ill-effects, so you can be confident he’ll feature in some capacity against Chelsea.
The big tease with Valencia is that whenever he’s on the pitch, he makes things happen. He’s got four goals and two assists in the league and averages 11.3 FPPG. In three of his last four games he’s gone over 12.5 points and managed 25 points against Manchester City, who boast the fifth meanest defence in the league. 29 shots in 13 games isn’t too shabby either.
Cabaye meanwhile is probably the most consistent pick amongst those in a Palace shirt. He’s averaged 2.6 interceptions, 2.3 shots, 4.4 crosses in each of his last five games, and has dipped below nine points just twice in his last 11 matches, topping 10.5 in seven of those games.
The Frenchman doesn’t rely on goals (5) or assists (1) for his points, which is a relief because he’s facing a Leicester side who have shipped just 31 goals in 30 games this season. They’re also top of the table, in case you hadn’t heard.
This one ultimately comes down to how risk-averse you are and what you’re looking for.
Valencia’s ownership will be low and he could explode against a Chelsea side with nothing to play for under an interim manager. But, given that he’s not fully up and running after his injury just yet it’s probably best to stick with Cabaye and bank some solid points, even given his opposition.