WWE

Vince McMahon.

Speculation that July 4 Raw episode could break unwanted WWE record

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The WWE may have appeased a lot of their fans recently by stripping Roman Reigns of his title and installing Dean Ambrose as the man at the top of the main roster.

However, according to speculation today, even The Lunatic Fringe with the WWE Championship around his belt might not be enough to stop the company setting an unwanted record during this evening's episode of Monday Night RAW.

As reported by Wrestling Inc., citing the work of a sports statistician by the name of Danny Tuccitto, the company could be about to draw their lowest ever viewing figures for the flagship show - breaking a 20 year low.

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Tuccitto, who's average accuracy for predicting sporting event viewing figures is within 0.10, believes tonight's show will come in at 1.58 on the Nielsen rating.

To put that into perspective, the record low for a WWE RAW broadcast was 1.5 way back in December 1996 for a taped episode. The previous low for the three-hour version of the show was 2.15 in December 2015.

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So just why could Vince McMahon and co. be waking up on Tuesday to some seriously bad news?

According to Tuccitto's rather complex calculations:

"[It's] based on a moving average that's regressed towards the mean, with time-adjusted effects from variables in these general groups: post-PPV, [competition from other live] sports, holidays, [whether RAW is] live or taped, and special episodes."

WWE Monday Night Raw In Las Vegas

More simply, the fact that today marks the July 4th Independence Day celebrations means a lot of WWE fans who would usually tune in for RAW will be busy spending the holiday with family and friends.

However, that still doesn't account for the predicted drop-off in viewers compared to the last time RAW went out live on July 4.

In 2005, the show did suffer a 35 percent fall compared to the average of that year but still pulled in a 2.6 rating.

The fact, though, that this year's holiday broadcast comes on the back of near constant criticism of WWE creative's storylines and the persistence with a three-hour running time, it is perhaps no surprise that factors could combine to hand the company an unwanted record.

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Topics:
WWE
John Cena
SmackDown
Vince McMahon

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