A novice pair of eyes might deduce that the Golden State Warriors will walk the league this year and win the NBA championship.
And that's a perfectly reasonable rationale to have. After all, the Dubs won a record-setting 73 games last season and have since added the 2014 MVP, Kevin Durant, to their ranks.
When you factor in Draymond Green, Klay Thompson and, of course, the first ever and reigning unanimous MVP, Stephen Curry, one could be forgiven for believing they are untouchable.
But they are not. They suffered a defeat in their first game of the season to the San Antonio Spurs - a blowout, in fact - and made hard work of the New Orleans Pelicans before overcoming then 122-114.
Despite having, arguably, the most talented starting five in the league, coach Steve Kerr insists that won't be enough for the Dubs to win anything this season.
Kerr cited miscommunication as a reason the victory over the Pelicans did not go as easily as it should. "We're going to have to get so much better,” Kerr said after the game. “You can see how much work we have ahead. We have plenty of talent but talent is not going to be enough."
The truth is, they have lost Festus Ezeli, Harrison Barnes, Andrew Bogu, Leandro Barbosa and Marrese Speights from last year's roster and their bench was one of their strongest assets.
Kerr has plenty of work on his hands, but with the talent at his disposal, chances are he will figure it out.