Stats reveal which team PL sides are most likely to face in CL last-16

Champions League trophy

An English team has not won the Champions League since Chelsea's miraculous victory over Bayern Munich in 2012.

Since then, Spain have won every single trophy bar Bayern's triumph over Borussia Dortmund in 2013.

However, there is optimism that Premier League sides could end the drought this season, with Liverpool and Manchester City two of the firm favourites.

Tottenham are also dark horses, while Manchester United will need some miraculous work in the January market to stand any chance.

It's the second season in a row that all English teams have made it out of the group stage, but City were the only side to actually top their group.

That means Liverpool, United and Spurs are likely to have some rather difficult last-16 ties come February.

Luckily, football journalist and statistician Mister Chip has done some digging to find out which side the English teams are most likely to face in the last-16.



The Citizens are likely to not have it easy despite finishing top of the group, as they have a 28.912% chance of meeting Atletico Madrid in the next round - the most likely outcome of all the teams

In second are Schalke, with Roma in third. As City can only face four of the teams, Ajax are the most unlikely on 19.978%.


Klopp after the win vs Napoli

For the Reds, the signs are pointing to a Jurgen Klopp reunion with high-flying Borussia Dortmund on 17.596%, with Barcelona in second.

The most unlikely for Liverpool? The easiest of the sides in Porto, with only a 14.672% chance of a trip to Portugal.


Much like their bitter rivals, United's most likely outcome is a trip to Germany to face Dortmund on 17.596% - the exact same as Liverpool's chances.

Mourinho in Man Utd training

And just like the Reds, Barca are in second on 17.271%, while Porto are the outside shot on 14.672% again.


Yeah, it's Dortmund again at the top of the list on the exact same percentage, but second for the north London side are Real Madrid on 17.217%.

Just like their Premier League rivals, Porto are the lowest at 14.781%. The stats point to a tough draw for the English sides.

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