Stats suggest Barcelona are three times more likely to win the CL than Juventus

Barcelona have a 27% chance of CL glory this season

The Champions League quarter-final ties are pretty finely poised right now.

Liverpool will take the most comfortable advantage into the second-leg matches after their 2-0 win at home against Porto.

Barcelona are also strong favourites to add to their 1-0 aggregate lead at the Nou Camp, but no one is ruling out Manchester United just yet.

As for Manchester City and Tottenham, their tie could not be more in the balance with Spurs taking a slender 1-0 lead to the Etihad next week.

Juventus' home tie against Ajax also promises to be a thriller after their 1-1 draw in Amsterdam on Wednesday evening.

There really is no clear favourite right now, but the folks over at FiveThirtyEight have provided some statistical analysis on which team is most likely to lift the trophy in May.

And unsurprisingly on the current state of the quarter-final ties, Liverpool are the favourites with a 28% chance of glory.

Barcelona are in second with a 27% chance, while Juve and Cristiano Ronaldo are way below on just 8%.

You can view the full table below.

The full table from FiveThirtyEight

Unsurprisingly, Porto haven't been given a prayer after their performance at Anfield, while United haven't exactly received much backing from FiveThirtyEight either.

Juve actually have more of a chance (61%) of making the semi's than Man City (50%), but the Citizens blow the Bianconeri away when it comes to the last four.

The two sides are scheduled to face each other in the next round if they progress and it appears City are the strong favourites.

As for Liverpool and Barcelona, they too would meet in the semi-final and that game is about as close it can get in the eyes of FiveThirtyEight.

Klopp & Van DIjk

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