Liverpool are given a 4% chance of winning the Champions League after 3-0 Barcelona loss

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Liverpool have it all to do after losing 3-0 to Barcelona in the first leg of the Champions League semi-final tie.

The Reds played well at Camp Nou but were undone by a second-half masterclass from Lionel Messi.

Messi scored twice - the second an outstanding free-kick from 35 yards out - to give the Blaugrana the advantage at the halfway point.

Barcelona have enjoyed plenty of domestic success in recent years but it’s been four years now since they won the Champions League.

And you can see while watching him play that Messi is desperate to end the wait.

It’s hard not to feel that just one goal for Barcelona next week at Anfield will secure their spot in the final.

Meanwhile, Ajax have the upper-hand in their semi-final contest against Tottenham.

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Barcelona are now heavy favourites

The Dutch side secured a 1-0 win at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, leaving them on the brink of their first Champions League final since 1996.

So, what’s the outlook for the rest of the competition?

The statisticians at FiveThirtyEight.com have crunched the numbers after the semi-final first legs to find out the most likely winners.

Unsurprisingly, Barcelona are the favourites. They are given a 94% chance of reaching the final and a 64% chance of lifting the trophy.

Barcelona v Liverpool - UEFA Champions League Semi Final: First Leg

Ajax are given a 24% chance of being champions while Tottenham’s chances stand at 8%.

Sorry, Liverpool fans, but you’re not fancied at all. The Reds have just a 6% chance of coming back against Barcelona and a 4% chance of winning a sixth European title.

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Whichever team prevails in the semi-final between Barcelona and Liverpool will find themselves as the favourites in Madrid on June 1.

Liverpool will need to channel the spirit of Istanbul when they host Messi and co. at Anfield next week.

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