Supercomputer predicts Liverpool only have a 12% chance of retaining Champions League


Europe's top clubs now have a much better idea of their Champions League prospects following Thursday's draw. 

English sides avoided the most notorious 'Group of Death', Barcelona, Borussia Dortmund, Inter Milan, and Slavia Prague all being drawn together in Group F.

Indeed, their favourable seeding ensured Manchester City, Liverpool, and Chelsea - all of whom were in Pot One - will be confident of progressing to the knockout stages. 

City face Shakhtar Donetsk, Dinamo Zagreb, and Atalanta, while Liverpool will meet Napoli, RB Salzburg and Genk. 

Chelsea are pitted against Ajax, Valencia and Lille. As for Spurs, the only team who ought to cause the Lilywhites problems are Bayern Munich, Red Star Belgrade and Olympiacos making up the rest of Group B. 

In the wake of the 2019 final, a lot of eyes will be drawn towards Premier League sides this year. 

An all-English final is rare, but what are the chances of it happening again? 

Quite slim, if the latest Super Computer prediction from FiveThirtyEight is to be believed. 

The analysts have determined that City are in fact favourites to win the whole thing, putting that outcome at a 27% probability. 

Brighton & Hove Albion v Manchester City - Premier League

However, Munich are second favourites at 17% - and the reigning champions Liverpool are given hope of just 12%. 

Kopites might feel a touch aggrieved at that given that they have followed their XI all the way to the final in back-to-back seasons. 

City are favourites 

Each side was given the following likelihood of landing Europe's most prestigious prize:

Manchester City - 27%

Bayern Munich - 17%

Liverpool - 12%

Tottenham Hotspur v Liverpool - UEFA Champions League Final

Barcelona - 10%

Juventus - 8%

Paris Saint-Germain - 6%

Real Madrid - 3%

Tottenham - 2%

Ajax v Tottenham Hotspur - UEFA Champions League Semi Final: Second Leg

Borussia Dortmund - 2%

Chelsea - 2%

Ajax - 2%

Atletico Madrid - 2%

The rest of the Champions League's competitors were given a rating of 1% or lower, with Lokomotiv Moscow deemed the biggest outsiders. 

Red Star are among the former champions to be listed in that category too, having lifted the European Cup in 1991. 

The truth is we won't have a better idea of how the 2019/20 season is going to unfold until that tantalising first round of fixtures in mid-September. 

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