Champions League last-16 draw: The best and worst-case scenario for the four English teams


The draw for the Champions League last-16 will be made in Nyon, Switzerland later today.

The 16 teams that progressed to the knockout stage all represent Europe’s big five leagues and some mouth-watering ties are in store.

The four Premier League teams that entered the competition - Chelsea, Liverpool, Manchester City and Tottenham - all made it through, as did some of Europe’s biggest names.

Barcelona, Real Madrid, Juventus, Bayern Munich and Paris Saint-Germain also found safe passage to the knockout stage.

There are certain rules that will impact how the draw will pan out.

No team can play a club from either their Champions League group or from their own nation.

And the group winners will play the second legs at home.

Best and worst-case scenarios

So, with that said, what is the best and worst-case scenarios for the four Premier League teams in the last-16 draw?

Let’s take a look.


Frank Lampard’s side finished second in Group H so they can expect a difficult last-16 tie.

Best case: RB Leipzig

Worst case: Barcelona

Chelsea’s potential opponents: Barcelona, Bayern Munich, Juventus, Paris Saint-Germain or RB Leipzig

Chelsea Training and Press Conference


The defending champions had to wait until the final matchday but they secured top spot in Group E.

Best case: Atalanta

Worse case: Real Madrid

Liverpool’s potential opponents: Real Madrid, Atalanta, Atletico Madrid, Borussia Dortmund, Lyon

RB Salzburg v Liverpool FC: Group E - UEFA Champions League

Tottenham Hotspur

Jose Mourinho’s team came second in Group B after losing twice to Bayern Munich.

A tough last-16 matchup could await last season’s finalists.

Best case: Valencia

Worst case: Barcelona

Tottenham’s potential opponents: Barcelona, Juventus, Paris Saint-Germain, RB Leipzig, Valencia

Bayern Muenchen v Tottenham Hotspur: Group B - UEFA Champions League

Manchester City

Pep Guardiola’s City breezed through Group C but they could face a tough test in the next stage.

Best case: Lyon

Worst case: Real Madrid

Manchester City’s potential opponents: Napoli, Real Madrid, Borussia Dortmund, Lyon, Atletico Madrid

Liverpool FC v Manchester City - Premier League

We’ve included best case scenarios for the four teams but really, there are no easy games at this stage of the Champions League.

It’s exceptionally difficult to predict what’s going to happen next year and there are perhaps eight teams who believe they can win it.

For now we’ll have to do with the data provided by FiveThirtyEight, who have worked out every club’s chances of winning the competition.

It’s good news for Manchester City but not for Real Madrid.

We can’t wait for the Champions League to resume with the last-16 ties, which get underway on February 18, 2020.

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