David Haye v Tyson Fury: 10 factors that will decide the fight

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On Saturday 28th September, David “Hayemaker” Haye (26-2, 24KO’s) and Tyson Fury (21-0, 15KO’s) will collide at the Manchester Arena in a matchup that will surely land the winner a shot at one of the Klitschko brothers’ world titles.

Today GMS Academy member Tom Stretton takes a look at 10 of the key factors going into the bout and who holds the key advantages in a fight that has really drawn interest back in the direction of boxing’s one time “glamour” division.

1) Height.

Tyson Fury has a huge height advantage over David Haye. He stands at a huge 6'9 whereas David gives away 6 inches standing at just 6'3. But the "Hayemaker" has faced a bigger man than Fury and he did it on the biggest night of his career. The night he won the WBA Heavyweight Championship of the world was against Nikolai Valuev who stands at a massive 7'2.

Haye was very cautious that night and avoided being held and leaned on by the giant Russian and scored enough clean shots on the back foot to take the title. But Fury brings a different challenge to that of Valuev and if he can use his height, fight tall and try and bring his jab into the fight he could cause Haye problems.

The height is certainly an advantage for Fury but only if he can use it.

2) Size.

Now this is a tricky point to cover. Obviously Fury has the size advantage in that he is naturally the bigger man. But we also know what size Haye will come in at. In his last 3 bouts he has weighed exactly 210lbs (15 stone) and has been in fantastic shape throughout his career and if this is not the case come fight night I would be amazed. On the other hand Fury's weight has fluctuated between 245lbs (17.5 stone) and 270lbs (19.3 stone).

I believe this shows the difference in both men’s dedication early on in their careers, Haye has always trained like a consummate professional should whereas Fury has carried excess fat on numerous occasions, especially in his early fights. Just recently though Tyson has managed to keep his weight down and his performances have started to improve as a result.

Fury needs to be light against Haye I feel. If he is to manage to impose himself on David then he needs to be mobile and a 270lbs Fury is not that.

3) Speed.

Haye takes this one hands down. He is faster in every department. He has a huge advantage in handspeed and his reaction speed as well as his footwork are not only far superior to Fury’s, they are also far superior to anyone Fury has faced.

4) Power.

This is another clear advantage Haye has over Fury. David Haye is one of the hardest punchers in Boxing today he has an 86% KO ratio and can stop any man with one clean shot. Fury on the other hand doesn’t possess this kind of power but to think that he doesn’t hit hard would be a serious mistake.

He is a huge man and has a 71% KO ratio which is not bad at all. His style though is more that of a man who wears down his opponents and stops them later on in fights.

There is a common opponent shared by these men, that man is Dereck “Del Boy” Chisora and the respective fights with him do show us the difference in power between Haye and Fury. Fury fought Chisora first and took a wide decision win without ever really hurting Chisora, whereas Haye brutally KO’d “Del Boy” with a fantastic display of power punching.

Fury needs to avoid Haye’s big shots from the word go but Haye needs to be careful himself, he cannot risk getting caught too often by the bigger man but I guarantee he already knows that.

5) Chin.

This is an interesting point and quite a hard one to compare. I believe both men have vulnerabilities in this department and both men have been down before.

Early on in his career whilst he was still fighting at Cruiserweight (200lbs), David Haye was floored quite heavily by a little-known fighter called Lolenga Mock.

Haye was caught on the temple area of his head in the second round and he looked to be in serious trouble, but he did recover and went on to stop Mock in the 4th round. He was also put down when he fought Jean Marc Mormeck for the Cruiserweight world titles by a shot that didn’t even seem to connect very well, but again he recovered to stop Mormeck in the 7th.

Haye has been stopped in his career once but I thought it was more down to exhaustion and inexperience than his chin. He was fighting Carl Thompson and to be honest the first two rounds were just a brutal onslaught from Haye, but somehow Thompson survived and Haye seemed to run out of steam.

Thompson was a good old pro and took advantage of Haye’s inexperience stopping the man from Bermondsey in the 5th round and doing so inflicted the first pro defeat of Haye’s career. Since that night Haye has taken shots from bigger punchers than Thompson, most notably Wladimir Klitschko. Now he didn’t take many due to the cautious nature of the fight but he certainly took a few shots that might have just surprised a few people that night. I know a lot of people believed it would be over if KlItschko landed one big shot but that was certainly not the case.

Fury has been down twice in his career and both times it was in the second round of a bout to counter overhand rights. Fury has a tendency to leave his left hand low and as a result leaves himself open to this shot. The first knockdown came against Neven Pajkic, a Canadian who was unbeaten before he faced Fury. But he had a very low KO ratio for a Heavyweight with just 5 KO’s from his 16 wins to that point, to Fury’s credit though he got up and took the win in the next round flooring his opponent twice en route to victory. The second came against a better opponent in Steve Cunningham the last time we saw Fury in action. Cunningham is an ex Cruiserweight world champion like Haye and he caught Fury with a fantastic shot that really looked to have finished Tyson off. Again though to his credit he climbed off the canvas and turned the fight around stopping Cunningham in the 7th round.

What we know is both men can be hurt, yet both have shown the qualities required to recover and still win despite being down. One factor though is that Fury has never been in with an explosive puncher like Haye and to make things worse for him Haye’s best shot is that over hand right and if Cunningham can hurt Fury like that then I really wonder if he would get up from one of Haye’s big bombs.

For the record I cannot split them on punch resistance at this point.

6) Activity.

This could be a big advantage for Fury. Since Haye’s defeat to Klitschko in 2011, he has only had one fight which was that 5th round KO victory over Dereck Chisora I spoke of earlier. Fury has fought seven times in that period and has really started to get himself into better shape in that time too. Then again a lot of staying active is that you do stay in shape and Haye has never let himself go like some boxers do when they are not active. That said staying in shape whilst not boxing is no substitute for real activity and this is certainly a point that Fury has the upper hand in.

7) Skill.

In my opinion Haye is by far the more skilful boxer of the two. He delivers his punches perfectly most of the time. His feet are almost always in the right place and he moves with the grace of smaller men.
Fury on the other hand can look clumsy at times, he makes quite a lot of mistakes and there is that video that gets played over and over on boxing forums etc. of Fury hitting himself in the face whilst trying to deliver an uppercut, something that I have never seen before and I seriously doubt David Haye will have ever made such a clumsy mistake.

8) Experience.

This has to go to Haye. He has been in the ring competing and winning world titles for years now and since the retirement of Ricky Hatton he has been the poster boy of British boxing. Whatever Fury brings you have to feel Haye will have prepared for it before whereas I don’t feel Fury has ever been in with anyone quite like Haye.

9) Age.

In most cases a Heavyweight will peak between the ages of 27 and 34 so taking that into account Haye at 32 could be and probably is at his absolute peak right now whereas Fury may be just short of it at 25. This is not always accurate, Mike Tyson peaked in his very early twenties and Lennox Lewis didn’t reach his full potential until he was in his mid-thirties, but I do feel Fury could get better yet whereas Haye is around the top of his game right now.

10) Heart.

In boxing we talk a lot about heart and the will to win. To have this quality you have to show that you have the desire to keep going when things aren’t going your way and I have already touched on these qualities from both men. To me Tyson Fury might just edge Haye out on this one. Haye has never shown a lack of heart in the ring but the amount of guts Fury showed when he was put down by Cunningham was to me the biggest highlight of his career and he proved that while he can still stand, he will give it all he can.

So of the 10 Key factors we have looked at I have given Haye the advantage in 5 of them, Fury the advantage in 4 and I couldn’t split the two men in punch resistance.

I truly believe Tyson’s heart is his biggest attribute, but even with that and his clear size advantage I just feel Haye’s skill, speed and power will be too much for Fury and I expect an early stoppage win for the Hayemaker in a little over 4 weeks’ time. The bookmakers also seem to share my opinion on that. One thing for certain is that this fight has really captured the public’s imagination and it is a fight I am really looking forward to myself.

The bout between Haye and Fury can be seen live on Sky Box Office on 28th September.

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This article has been written by a member of the GiveMeSport Writing Academy and does not represent the views of or SportsNewMedia. The views and opinions expressed are solely that of the author credited at the top of this article. and SportsNewMedia do not take any responsibility for the content of its contributors.

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