It's no exaggeration to say that the 3rd Ashes test at the WACA in Perth is going to be decisive.
The boys in baggy green have battered England so far, winning the first two tests in convincing fashion. One more win and the last two tests will be dead rubbers with only pride at stake.
To stay alive in the series England need a win. They need a win on a pitch where they
have only won one test match ever.
If this was a poker game the flop is coming down and England need to go all in hoping for a full house.
With this in mind Andy Flower has promised changes to the line-up; he wasn't quite as dramatic as to imply that heads will roll- but he wasn't far off.
So how can England pull this win off?
Considering the fast bouncy wickets the sun baked Perth pitch is likely serve up and the stage of the series, England have only one realistic option. They need to go on the attack and throw caution to the wind.
The fear is that they will do the opposite of this. England have prospered in recent history by playing a four man attack and packing the batting line up.
The batsmen have not performed so far this season and their tails have been prevented from wagging by Australia's hostile attack. The temptation will be to bolster the batting as much as possible. Bring Bresnan into a four man attack with Ben Stokes drop Swann and Pansaer and add a batsman.
This would be a mistake. England do need to bat better but so bad has their batting been that adding extra players to it probably wouldn't make much difference. England need to bat better not bat more.
Instead England should play the big tall fast bowlers they brought with them. Pack the bowling with Finn, Rankin and Tremlett. Trust them to deliver for England on a pitch that should favour bowlers with their height. If they do this even if they lose at least they will have gone down swinging.
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