Johnny Manziel should be nowhere near the top of the NFL 2014 draft board. He is overhyped, overrated and destined for failure in the world of pro football. There i said it.
There hasn't been a player that polarises opinion more in a draft in years/. Some people think that Johnny Football could be the messiah for an under-performing NFL side while others pray their team don't pick him.
You can place me firmly in the camp of the latter school of thought.
The former Texas A&M man clearly has some talent, you don't fluke your way to a Heisman, but i cannot get the similarity to Tim Tebow out of my mind.
Sure quarterbacks like Russell Wilson have paved the way for smaller more mobile play callers, but unlike Wilson, Manziel just doesn't have the same football IQ and ability in the pocket.
It's like Manziel sees ghosts when he is in there in the pocket. No one knows what he sees and he just takes off.
That tendency to run when he has men downfield will be infuriating for offensive co-ordinators and head coaches in the pro's and with the defenses Manziel will face being significantly better than those he has played against as an Aggie, he won't make those 40 yard bursts we have seen him become famous for.
In some of the games he has played in against tough opposition the QB has gone into his shell. NFL films producer Greg Cosell called Manziel "almost undraftable' after watching the games he produced against LSU and Missouri.
Cosell isn't the only analyst to slate Manziel and he won't be the last.
Whilst Manziel does show flashes of quality, his hype and notoriety in the media has pushed him further up mock draft boards than his limited ability deserves.
Run-ins with paparazzi and columnists after alcohol filled antics thrust the young man in to the spotlight and he is set up for a fall from the hyperbole that we are all guilty of inflating.
Manziel's game is based on his elusiveness in the pocket, creativity as a runner and the ability to keep plays alive and force defenses to maintain their coverage longer than the average three-to-four seconds.
The professional level is simply too clever, too big and too quick to adjust schematically for those attributes to remain the cornerstones of Manziel's career.
Teddy Bridgewater is the best quarterback in the draft, Blake Bortles is NFL ready right now, and Jadeveon Clowney is just a physical freak that needs to go number one.
If Johnny Football is picked higher than any of these then GM's should hang their heads in shame.
Manziel has so many areas for improvement in his game that he needs significant time to develop into an NFL starter, and if teams draft him early and make him their number one guy from day one then they will regret it.
If the 21-year old is taken first come May time then it won't be a football decision. That will purely be the decision of a GM or owner interested in the popularity and potential advertising and merchandising opportunities that come with the name.
Right now, Johnny Manziel is nowhere near the level of his counterparts at the top of the draft and should not be talked about in the same sentence. It's unfortunate that his celebrity status outweighs his ability.
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