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NFL Fantasy: Get ready to sell Asiata high

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Football News

Along with drafting well and checking the injury news before you set your lineup one of the keys to NFL fantasy success is to buy low and sell high on players.

If like many Adrian Peterson owners you picked up Matt Asiata it is time to sell for what you can get because, this is as good as it gets.

Lucky stats

Since Adrian Peterson was suspended Matt Asiata has rushed for 149 yards off 45 attempts. In the last three games against the Patriots, Saints and Falcons this worked out as 36, 35 and 78 rushing yards.

Against the Patriots and the Saints then it is clear that Asiata did effectively nothing. Against the Patriots did get a receiving touchdown but that had more to do with a blown coverage from the New England defense than anything special Matt Asiata did.

Last weekend though against the Falcons Asiata did have a worthwhile fantasy performance after he picked up three rushing touchdowns, 78 rushing yards and 22 receiving yards.

The mainstay of that performance was of course the three touchdowns and whilst it might be an exaggeration to say that Asiata got 'lucky' it is obvious that Asiata will struggle to get three touchdowns again.

If you look at the touchdowns on tape those three trips to the endzone had more to do with the Falcons complete inability to stuff the gaps and defend the run then anything special Asiata did.

Superior Competition

Now you might well be thinking so what? Asiata may not do another three touchdown performance all season not many players, if any, do. The problem for Asiata owners though is rookie running back Jerick McKinnon.

Whilst Asiata is basically limited to running forward, hitting the tackler and either running over him or getting tackles McKinnon is a far superior athlete who is capable of both running over tacklers and making defenders miss.

In 23 rushing attempts McKinnon has 142 yards at an average of 6.2 yards per carry. Compare this to Asiata's 159 yards from 47 attempts at an average of 3.4 yards per carry and it is clear that McKinnon is the superior player.

The Vikings are also beginning to realise this also. In weeks 2 and 3 McKinnon barely had a carry then in week 4 he had 18.

Last favorable matchup

This week the Vikings travel to Green Bay to play the Packers. Given the shortened preparation time, Teddy Bridgewater's fitness troubles and Green Bay's awful run defense (they rank 32nd against the run giving up a total of 704 yards) you can expect to see the Vikings lean heavily on the run.

Given all this you can expect Asiata to have plenty of work this week. Equally, though
given the rise of McKinnon and the tougher run defenses the Vikings have in the rest of the schedule the match against the Packers will also be the zenith of Asiata's career. Fantasy owners get ready to sell high and pick up McKinnon in free agency.

Minnesota Vikings

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