Liverpool, Man Utd: Everton: Where will every Premier League team finish in 2021-22 table?

  • Rob Swan
Study calculates every Premier League team’s final league position before final round of matches

The final day of the 2021-22 Premier League campaign is almost upon us and it has the potential to be one of the most dramatic ends to a season ever.

There’s so much up for grabs: Manchester City or Liverpool will be crowned champions, Tottenham or Arsenal will secure a top-four finish, Manchester United and West Ham battle it out for sixth place, while Everton, Leeds United or Burnley will be relegated.

Ahead of the final weekend, we’ve looked at the data published by the guys at FiveThirtyEight to see where all 20 clubs are most likely to finish in the table.

Before the final weekend, though, there are three fixtures still be played:

May 19

Everton vs Crystal Palace

Aston Villa vs Burnley

Chelsea vs Leicester City

Then we head into the final day of the season on Sunday. All games will kick off at 4pm GMT.

May 22

Arsenal vs Everton

Brentford vs Leeds United

Brighton vs West Ham

Burnley vs Newcastle United

Chelsea vs Watford

Crystal Palace vs Manchester United

Leicester City vs Southampton

Liverpool vs Wolves

Manchester City vs Aston Villa

Norwich City vs Tottenham

Premier League Final Day: Predictions, Scenarios and More

Where will each team finish in the 2021-22 Premier League table?

So, let’s take a look at where each club is most likely to end up in the table, according to the stats.

Manchester City

Chance of winning Premier League: 82%

Chance of finishing second: 18%

Manchester City premier league goal
WOLVERHAMPTON, ENGLAND – MAY 11: Kevin De Bruyne of Manchester City celebrates after scoring their side’s fourth goal with Joao Cancelo and Raheem Sterling during the Premier League match between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Manchester City at Molineux on May 11, 2022 in Wolverhampton, England. (Photo by Shaun Botterill/Getty Images)

Liverpool

Chance of winning Premier League: 18%

Chance of finishing second: 82%

liverpool premier league goal
SOUTHAMPTON, ENGLAND – MAY 17: Roberto Firmino of Liverpool celebrates after Joel Matip (not pictured) scores their sides second goal during the Premier League match between Southampton and Liverpool at St Mary’s Stadium on May 17, 2022 in Southampton, England. (Photo by Clive Rose/Getty Images)

Chelsea

Chance of finishing third: 96%

Chance of finishing fourth: 4%

Chelsea PL goal
LEEDS, ENGLAND – MAY 11: Romelu Lukaku of Chelsea celebrates after scoring their side’s third goal with Hakim Ziyech during the Premier League match between Leeds United and Chelsea at Elland Road on May 11, 2022 in Leeds, England. (Photo by Stu Forster/Getty Images)

Tottenham

Chance of finishing third: 4%

Chance of finishing fourth: 92%

Chance of finishing fifth: 4%

Tottenham premier league goal
LONDON, ENGLAND – MAY 12: Heung-Min Son of Tottenham Hotspur celebrates after scoring their side’s third goal during the Premier League match between Tottenham Hotspur and Arsenal at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on May 12, 2022 in London, England. (Photo by Clive Rose/Getty Images)

Arsenal

Chance of finishing fourth: 4%

Chance of finishing fifth: 96%

Arsenal premier league goal
LONDON, ENGLAND – MAY 08: Eddie Nketiah of Arsenal celebrates scoring their side’s second goal with Gabriel Martinelli during the Premier League match between Arsenal and Leeds United at Emirates Stadium on May 08, 2022 in London, England. (Photo by Ryan Pierse/Getty Images)

Manchester United

Chance of finishing sixth: 79%

Chance of finishing seventh: 21%

manchester United premier league goal
MANCHESTER, ENGLAND – APRIL 16: Cristiano Ronaldo of Manchester United celebrates with team mates after scoring their sides third goal and hat-trick during the Premier League match between Manchester United and Norwich City at Old Trafford on April 16, 2022 in Manchester, England. (Photo by Jan Kruger/Getty Images)

West Ham

Chance of finishing sixth: 21%

Chance of finishing seventh: 79%

West Ham premier league goal
LONDON, ENGLAND – MAY 15: Jarrod Bowen of West Ham United celebrates their sides second goal with team mate Tomas Soucek during the Premier League match between West Ham United and Manchester City at London Stadium on May 15, 2022 in London, England. (Photo by Mike Hewitt/Getty Images)

Wolves

Chance of finishing eighth: 28%

Chance of finishing ninth: 43%

Chance of finishing 10th: 25%

Chance of finishing 11th: 3%

Wolves premier league goal
LONDON, ENGLAND – MAY 07: Francisco Trincao celebrates with Leander Dendoncker and Chiquinho of Wolverhampton Wanderers after scoring their team’s first goal during the Premier League match between Chelsea and Wolverhampton Wanderers at Stamford Bridge on May 07, 2022 in London, England. (Photo by Catherine Ivill/Getty Images)

Leicester City

Chance of finishing eighth: 51%

Chance of finishing ninth: 19%

Chance of finishing 10th: 15%

Chance of finishing 11th: 9%

Chance of finishing 12th: 4%

Chance of finishing 13th: 1%

Chance of finishing 14th: <1%

Leicester City premier league goal
LEICESTER, ENGLAND – MAY 11: Jamie Vardy of Leicester City celebrates after scoring their side’s second goal during the Premier League match between Leicester City and Norwich City at The King Power Stadium on May 11, 2022 in Leicester, England. (Photo by Michael Regan/Getty Images)

Brighton

Chance of finishing eighth: 8%

Chance of finishing ninth: 24%

Chance of finishing 10th: 26%

Chance of finishing 11th: 23%

Chance of finishing 12th: 13%

Chance of finishing 13th: 4%

Chance of finishing 14th: <1%

Brighton PL goal
BRIGHTON, ENGLAND – MAY 07: Moises Caicedo celebrates with Yves Bissouma of Brighton & Hove Albion after scoring their team’s first goal during the Premier League match between Brighton & Hove Albion and Manchester United at American Express Community Stadium on May 07, 2022 in Brighton, England. (Photo by Mike Hewitt/Getty Images)

Crystal Palace

Chance of finishing eighth: 9%

Chance of finishing ninth: 10%

Chance of finishing 10th: 16%

Chance of finishing 11th: 20%

Chance of finishing 12th: 17%

Chance of finishing 13th: 16%

Chance of finishing 14th: 10%

crystal Palace premier league goal
LONDON, ENGLAND – MAY 07: Wilfried Zaha of Crystal Palace celebrates after scoring their team’s first goal from the penalty spot during the Premier League match between Crystal Palace and Watford at Selhurst Park on May 07, 2022 in London, England. (Photo by Warren Little/Getty Images)

Brentford

Chance of finishing ninth: 2%

Chance of finishing 10th: 12%

Chance of finishing 11th: 25%

Chance of finishing 12th: 27%

Chance of finishing 13th: 24%

Chance of finishing 14th: 11%

Brentford premier league goal
BRENTFORD, ENGLAND – MAY 07: Yoane Wissa of Brentford celebrates with Rico Henry and teammates after scoring their team’s second goal during the Premier League match between Brentford and Southampton at Brentford Community Stadium on May 07, 2022 in Brentford, England. (Photo by Steve Bardens/Getty Images)

Newcastle United

Chance of finishing ninth: <1%

Chance of finishing 10th: 4%

Chance of finishing 11th: 12%

Chance of finishing 12th: 19%

Chance of finishing 13th: 36%

Chance of finishing 14th: 28%

Newcastle United premier league goal
NEWCASTLE UPON TYNE, ENGLAND – MAY 16: Callum Wilson of Newcastle United celebrates with teammates after Ben White of Arsenal (not pictured) scored an own goal which lead to the first goal for Newcastle United during the Premier League match between Newcastle United and Arsenal at St. James Park on May 16, 2022 in Newcastle upon Tyne, England. (Photo by Stu Forster/Getty Images)

Aston Villa

Chance of finishing ninth: <1%

Chance of finishing 10th: 2%

Chance of finishing 11th: 8%

Chance of finishing 12th: 20%

Chance of finishing 13th: 18%

Chance of finishing 14th: 51%

Aston Villa premier league goal
BIRMINGHAM, ENGLAND – MAY 10: Tyrone Mings of Aston Villa celebrates with Douglas Luiz after Luiz scored their team’s first goal during the Premier League match between Aston Villa and Liverpool at Villa Park on May 10, 2022 in Birmingham, England. (Photo by Ryan Pierse/Getty Images)

Southampton

Chance of finishing 15th: 84%

Chance of finishing 16th: 15%

Chance of finishing 17th: 1%

Southampton premier league goal
LEEDS, ENGLAND – APRIL 02: Southampton captain James Ward-Prowse celebrates after scoring the Southampton goal during the Premier League match between Leeds United and Southampton at Elland Road on April 02, 2022 in Leeds, England. (Photo by Stu Forster/Getty Images)

Everton

Chance of being relegated: 9%

Chance of finishing 15th: 10%

Chance of finishing 16th: 48%

Chance of finishing 17th: 32%

Chance of finishing 18th: 9%

Everton premier league goal
LIVERPOOL, ENGLAND – MAY 15: Richarlison of Everton celebrates scoring their side’s second goal from a penalty with teammate Dominic Calvert-Lewin during the Premier League match between Everton and Brentford at Goodison Park on May 15, 2022 in Liverpool, England. (Photo by Gareth Copley/Getty Images)

Burnley

Chance of being relegated: 31%

Chance of finishing 15th: 6%

Chance of finishing 16th: 27%

Chance of finishing 17th: 36%

Chance of finishing 18th: 31%

Burnley premier league goal
BURNLEY, ENGLAND – APRIL 24: Matej Vydra celebrates with teammate Dwight McNeil of Burnley after scoring their team’s first goal during the Premier League match between Burnley and Wolverhampton Wanderers at Turf Moor on April 24, 2022 in Burnley, England. (Photo by Stu Forster/Getty Images)

Leeds United

Chance of being relegated: 60%

Chance of finishing 16th: 10%

Chance of finishing 17th: 30%

Chance of finishing 18th: 60%

Leeds United premier league goal
LEEDS, ENGLAND – APRIL 02: Leeds United goalscorer Jack Harrison (r) congratulates Raphinha after the pair combined for the opening goal during the Premier League match between Leeds United and Southampton at Elland Road on April 02, 2022 in Leeds, England. (Photo by Stu Forster/Getty Images)

Watford (Relegated)

Chance of finishing 19th: 94%

Chance of finishing 20th: 6%

watford hodgson
BIRMINGHAM, ENGLAND – FEBRUARY 19: Roy Hodgson, Manager of Watford FC reacts towards Kiko Femenia of Watford FC down injured during the Premier League match between Aston Villa and Watford at Villa Park on February 19, 2022 in Birmingham, England. (Photo by Lewis Storey/Getty Images)

Norwich City (Relegated)

Chance of finishing 19th: 6%

Chance of finishing 20th: 94%

Norwich city relegated
BIRMINGHAM, ENGLAND – APRIL 30: Jonathan Rowe of Norwich City looks dejected following their side’s defeat and relegation to the Championship during the Premier League match between Aston Villa and Norwich City at Villa Park on April 30, 2022 in Birmingham, England. (Photo by Ryan Pierse/Getty Images)

Conclusions

So, there we have it.

Man City should be crowned champions by 6pm on Sunday but Liverpool still have an 18% chance of lifting the Premier League trophy.

It would be some story if Steven Gerrard’s Aston Villa effectively hand the title to the Reds.

Tottenham, meanwhile, will almost certainly qualify for next season’s Champions League ahead of Arsenal. 

conte
LONDON, ENGLAND – MAY 15: Antonio Conte, Manager of Tottenham Hotspur reacts during the Premier League match between Tottenham Hotspur and Burnley at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on May 15, 2022 in London, England. (Photo by Ryan Pierse/Getty Images)

Man Utd should secure Europa League football, rather than a place in the Europa Conference League, while at the opposite end of the table Leeds have it all to do in order to avoid joining Watford and Norwich in the Championship.

Everton and Burnley, however, are by no means safe as things stand.

It’s going to be one heck of a final day – and we can’t wait.

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