Kane, Werner, Lacazette: The 10 worst Premier League finishers in 2021/22

Chelsea, Spurs & Arsenal frontmen all feature as the worst PL finishers ranked by 21/22 stats

Tottenham’s Son Heung-min became the 25th Premier League player to scoop the competition’s Golden Boot last weekend – with his 23 goals in the 2021/22 campaign enough to see him share the prize with Liverpool’s Mo Salah.

His strike partner Harry Kane finished the season with just six goals less, but the two men’s ‘expected goals’ couldn’t be any further apart.

Essentially, the metric allows us to track which players have scored more goals than they should have done over the course of the season based on the quality of the chances they’ve had.

According to statistics provided by the guys over at FBref, Son outperformed his expected non-penalty return by an impressive 6.6 goals – the second-best figures in the whole competition.

Kane, meanwhile, was more than four goals short of his predicted tally.

Although his actual haul of 17 goals was still enough to see Kane finish fourth in the Premier League’s goalscoring charts, the England captain will naturally be disappointed by his conversion rate.

The 2021/22 Premier League quiz of the season

1 of 20
Ilkay Gundogan

We’ll start with an easy one – who provided the assist for Ilkay Gundogan’s title winning goal?

Below, we’ve taken a look at the 10 worst offenders for squandering golden opportunities in the English top-flight in 2021/22.

To prevent the stats from being unfairly skewed, we’ve looked at each player’s ratio excluding penalty-kicks.

Let’s now find out who the competition’s worst finishers were across the campaign.

The ‘worst strikers’ of the 2021/22 Premier League season as ranked by stats

10. Gabriel Jesus (Manchester City)
Non-penalty G-xG: -2.4

City have finally solved their striker conundrum with the addition of Erling Haaland from next season. That signing will likely see Jesus moving away from the Etihad. In a side packed with so much talent, the fact the Brazilian hasn’t been able to at least match his expected goals ratio doesn’t bode well for his future at the elite level.

Gabriel Jesus
MANCHESTER, ENGLAND – AUGUST 28: Gabriel Jesus of Manchester City celebrates after scoring his team’s third goal during the Premier League match between Manchester City and Arsenal at Etihad Stadium on August 28, 2021 in Manchester, England. (Photo by Catherine Ivill/Getty Images)

9. Jakub Moder (Brighton)
Non-penalty G-xG: -2.4

Moder has been plying his trade in the Premier League for two seasons now and has yet to open his account. The stats say he should have at least two to his credit.

Jakub Moder and Phil Foden
BRIGHTON, ENGLAND – OCTOBER 23: Phil Foden of Manchester City battles for possession with Jakub Moder of Brighton & Hove Albion during the Premier League match between Brighton & Hove Albion and Manchester City at American Express Community Stadium on October 23, 2021 in Brighton, England. (Photo by Clive Rose/Getty Images)

8. Mathias Jensen (Brentford)
Non-penalty G-xG: -2.5

The Bees enjoyed a magnificent first season in the Premier League. However, midfielder Jensen didn’t contribute a single one of their 48 top-flight goals.

Mathias Jensen
MANCHESTER, ENGLAND – FEBRUARY 09: Mathias Jensen of Brentford looks dejected following their side’s defeat in the Premier League match between Manchester City and Brentford at Etihad Stadium on February 09, 2022 in Manchester, England. (Photo by Gareth Copley/Getty Images)

7. Jay Rodriguez (Burnley)
Non-penalty G-xG: -2.7

The level of opposition faced by Clarets will drop next season as they look to secure promotion from the Championship. Even after dropping down a division, though, Burnley will still require a far greater contribution from the goal-shy Rodriguez.

Jay Rodriguez
BURNLEY, ENGLAND – APRIL 06: Jay Rodriguez of Burnley celebrates with teammates Aaron Lennon and Maxwel Cornet after scoring their team’s second goal during the Premier League match between Burnley and Everton at Turf Moor on April 06, 2022 in Burnley, England. (Photo by Clive Brunskill/Getty Images)

6. Joao Cancelo (Manchester City)
Non-penalty G-xG: -3.1

Yes, City are so dominant in most of their matches that even their members of their backline are frequently taking pops at goal. In fact, the nature of Pep Guardiola’s playing system has meant that Cancelo has actually had more shots in the league than any other member of the Spaniard’s squad.

Given that City ended up landing their fourth title in five years, we can’t see Pep being overly bothered by the three (or so) goals that the stats say Cancelo should have scored but didn’t.

Cancelo and Guardiola
LONDON, ENGLAND – MAY 15: Pep Guardiola, Manager of Manchester City gives instructions to Joao Cancelo of Manchester City during the Premier League match between West Ham United and Manchester City at London Stadium on May 15, 2022 in London, England. (Photo by Clive Rose/Getty Images)

5. Joshua King (Watford)
Non-penalty G-xG: -3.2

The Hornets probably wouldn’t have stayed up anyway, but a few more goals from their inconsistent frontman would certainly have helped their cause.

Joshua King
WATFORD, ENGLAND – NOVEMBER 20: Joshua King of Watford FC celebrates after scoring their team’s first goal during the Premier League match between Watford and Manchester United at Vicarage Road on November 20, 2021 in Watford, England. (Photo by Alex Pantling/Getty Images)

4. Alexandre Lacazette (Arsenal)
Non-penalty G-xG: -3.6

When the Gunners offloaded Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang to Barcelona in January, Lacazette was tipped by some to pick up the slack in terms of goalscoring at the Emirates. It wasn’t to be.

Lacazette v Brighton
LONDON, ENGLAND – APRIL 09: Alexandre Lacazette of Arsenal is challenged by Yves Bissouma of Brighton & Hove Albion during the Premier League match between Arsenal and Brighton & Hove Albion at Emirates Stadium on April 09, 2022 in London, England. (Photo by Mike Hewitt/Getty Images)

3. Timo Werner (Chelsea)
Non-penalty G-xG: -3.6

Poor Timo gets a fair amount of flak for his lack of goals, but the stats suggest that it might be deserved.

Timo Werner sad
LONDON, ENGLAND – APRIL 20: Timo Werner of Chelsea looks dejected following Arsenal’s third goal during the Premier League match between Chelsea and Arsenal at Stamford Bridge on April 20, 2022 in London, England. (Photo by Mike Hewitt/Getty Images)

2. Harry Kane (Tottenham)
Non-penalty G-xG: -4.1

Having had 131 shots across the campaign, Kane should probably have at least broken the 20 goal-mark. Had he done so, Kane would have surpassed Cristiano Ronaldo for third-place in terms of the competition’s top marksmen.

Harry Kane frustrated
BURNLEY, ENGLAND – FEBRUARY 23: Harry Kane of Tottenham Hotspur looks dejected following their side’s defeat in the Premier League match between Burnley and Tottenham Hotspur at Turf Moor on February 23, 2022 in Burnley, England. (Photo by Stu Forster/Getty Images)

1. Bryan Mbeumo (Brentford)
Non-penalty G-xG: -6.0

After somehow managing to hit the woodwork on no less than seven occasions, Mbeumo was always destined to have a rough ride in the expected goals stakes.

Bryan Mbeumo
BRENTFORD, ENGLAND – APRIL 23: Bryan Mbeumo of Brentford is challenged by Ben Davies of Tottenham Hotspur during the Premier League match between Brentford and Tottenham Hotspur at Brentford Community Stadium on April 23, 2022 in Brentford, England. (Photo by Eddie Keogh/Getty Images)

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