Ronaldo, Haaland, Salah: Who will win the 2022/23 Premier League Golden Boot?

It’s Premier League eve and the hype is seriously real for the season ahead.

One of the things fans are most excited about is the vast array of attacking options available to clubs that, it strangely seems wasn’t really a thing last year.

Erling Haaland has joined Manchester City, Darwin Nunez has gone to Liverpool – those two were always going to be the standouts and they join clubs that lacked a traditional striker.

However, Gabriel Jesus’ switch to Arsenal and the fiery pre-season form he’s been in since joining has created a whole new dynamic where he almost feels like a brand new signing, finally free of the shackles of limited game time at City.

We have the devastating Harry Kane at Spurs also. Not to mention, potentially at least, Cristiano Ronaldo at Manchester United.

And we haven’t even gotten onto the goal-hungry wingers like Mohamed Salah and Son Heung-min yet – both of whom shared the Golden Boot last campaign.

Summary? We might have the most attackingly stacked Premier League of all time.

Who, though, will triumph as elite scorers in the world’s hardest league? Because a few are bound to flop.

We’ve tried our hand at ranking how many goals we feel each Premier League attacker will score this season using Tiermaker.

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Predicting the goal returns of Premier League attackers in 2022/23

1-5 Premier League goals

Christian Pulisic, Roberto Firmino, Lucas Moura, Hakim Ziyech, Nicolas Pepe, Timo Werner, Eddie Nketiah

There’s enough reasons to suggest that all of these players could seriously struggle for goals this upcoming season.

The arrival of Raheem Sterling is sure to limit Pulisic’s game time massively, and it’s a similar case with both Moura and Nketiah thanks to the plethora of attacking options available at Tottenham and Arsenal now.

Firmino was good enough for just five Premier League goals last campaign and we expect much of the same for the Brazilian, who in truth, is much more a creative force in the Liverpool set-up than a striker.

Werner, on the other hand, he was brought in for goals but they’ve so far evaded him and it would be no surprise at all to see him move on before the transfer window is out.

Roberto Firmino Liverpool

6-10 Premier League goals

Jack Grealish, Kai Havertz, Danny Ings, Allan Saint-Maximin, Raul Jimenez, Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Marcus Rashford, Jadon Sancho, Wilfried Zaha, Gabriel Martinelli, Ivan Toney, Dejan Kulusevski, Patrick Bamford, Jarod Bowen, Julian Alvarez, Phil Foden, Michail Antonio

Grealish managed just three Premier League goals in 2021/22 which is a more than disappointing return for his debut season at City. We’re backing him to score slightly more, but he’ll be no Sterling replacement, that’s for sure.

Havertz scored eight last time out and we expect much of the same from him.

Man United boys Sancho and Rashford also find their home in the ‘6-10’ category. In order to pull that off they’ll need to demonstrate big improvements from their performance levels under Ralf Rangnick.

Meanwhile, we anticipate Bowen to slip back from double figures to roughly eight goals this season. That’s not to suggest his form will drop off, though, because he’s an absolutely top player.

Jack Grealish Man City

11-19 Premier League goals

Diogo Jota, Son Heung-Min, Gianluca Scamacca, Luis Diaz, Raheem Sterling, Cristiano Ronaldo, Riyad Mahrez, Jamie Vardy, Anthony Martial, Bukayo Saka, Ollie Watkins, Callum Wilson, Aleksandar Mitrovic

We have two Liverpool representatives in the ’11-19′ category in Jota and Diaz. In truth, we don’t expect them to be much over the 11-goal mark but in and around that range.

Diaz’s finishing will need to improve in order to reach that figure, though. And although Jota struck 15 last time out, we feel his game time could become more limited with Nunez taking precedence.

Last season’s Golden Boot winner also finds himself in this range because, despite racking up an impressive tally of 23 to claim the prize, we feel Kane’s off-season in front of goal actually contributed to that.

With the Englishman firing on all cylinders, there’ll be less goals for Son to snap up – although we do still expect him to approach the upper echelons of this band and approach the 20-goal range.

Heung-Min Son celebrates

Mahrez scored 11 Premier League goals in 2021/22 but his tally of seven in the Champions League suggests there could be more to come from him, especially with the extra responsibility he’ll shoulder in the absence of Sterling and Jesus.

Speaking of Sterling… we reckon Chelsea fans can expect about 15-16 goals from their new star man, presuming Tuchel doesn’t deploy him as a traditional winger and instead gives him freedom to hunt for goals around the box.

In this category we also have two newcomers to the league for this season. Mitrovic will be hoping to fare better than he did in 2020/21 after managing just three goals on that occasion.

Meanwhile, West Ham’s new and rather humongous Italian forward who stands 6ft 5in from the ground scored 16 in the Serie A. He’ll be bidding to push that mark as he leads their line this campaign.

And last but not least, if Ronaldo does stay at United this window, then fans can expect much of the same from their iconic star – 18 goals would be the benchmark.

Raheem Sterling Chelsea

20-29 Premier League goals

Mohamed Salah, Gabriel Jesus, Harry Kane, Darwin Nunez

Jheeez, we can feel the heat already here with this bold prediction…

Four players to score more than 20 goals and we haven’t even got to Haaland yet.

The thing is, though, Salah is a banker to breach the 20-goal mark. As is Kane if Tottenham can hit the form many expect them to.

Whereas with Jesus and Nunez, we genuinely feel like they are precisely what their new clubs needed.

Of course, pre-season is hardly the greatest indicator, but within that time frame these two have scored no less than 12 goals between them.

Anyway, laugh at us all you want but we’re sticking with our bold picks.

30+ Premier League goals

Erling Haaland

Do we go for it? Well, we just have.

It’s undoubtedly another bold selection and one that’s totally dependant on him going injury-free, which, admittedly, Haaland doesn’t do all that often.

But what’s the fun in some pre-season predictions if you don’t go big?

The sheer number of chances City create, combined with the lethal finishing ability of a world class forward that has both the pace and power to excel in the Premier League – it might just create the perfect storm.

Erling Haaland Man City

Premier League quiz:

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Who’s this Premier League icon from the 2000s?

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