Premier Predictor says Manchester United more likely to be relegated than win title

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The unveiling of Jose Mourinho as Manchester United manager was supposed to signal the Red Devils’ best chance of landing the Premier League title since Sir Alex Ferguson was in charge.

A turbulent opening 12 weeks of the season has left the Old Trafford outfit eighth on the league table, not to mention third in their Europa League group behind the likes of Feyenoord and Fenerbahce.

United are eight points off the pace in the title race and showing no signs of forming the consistency required to stand any chance of mounting a significant challenge.


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Mourinho has been in dire situations before – none more so than during his second spell at Chelsea last season – but this challenge is unquestionably one of his toughest yet.

The Portuguese has not overseen a league victory since his men defeated Leicester 4-1 at home in September – a run which inflicting serious damage to their title hopes.

In fact, Sky Sports’ Premier League Predictor has revealed United are more likely to be relegated from the English top-flight than win it this season.

The Red Devils have just a one per cent chance of claiming the Premier League crown this term, while their odds of facing the drop are twice as high according to the predictor.

Currently hovering just above mid-table, Mourinho’s side have been given a 14 per cent likelihood of finishing in the top four come the end of the campaign.

Check out the predicted top eight below.


Title chances: 32%
Top 4 chances: 80%
Relegation chances: <1%
Simulated points total: 71

Manchester City

Title chances: 20%
Top 4 chances: 69%
Relegation chances: <1%
Simulated points total: 69


Title chances: 16%
Top 4 chances: 64%
Relegation chances: <1%
Simulated points total: 67


Title chances: 15%
Top 4 chances: 62%
Relegation chances: <1%
Simulated points total: 66


Title chances: 13%
Top 4 chances: 60%
Relegation chances: <1%
Simulated points total: 66


Title chances: 2%
Top 4 chances: 21%
Relegation chances: 1%
Simulated points total: 58

Manchester United

Title chances: 1%
Top 4 chances: 14%
Relegation chances: 2%
Simulated points total: 56

The Premier Predictor uses a range of factors to predict results including previous success, recent form, home advantage, winning margin and schedule.

Ranking points are distributed among the 20 Premier League clubs based on the margin go victory or defeat in each match, opposition quality and the fixture venue.

As goes for predictions of any kind, only time will determine the accuracy of Sky Sports’ algorithm.

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Thierry Henry
Wayne Rooney
Premier League
Manchester United
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